Post #190420 by Lake Surfer on Mon, Oct 3, 2005 10:45 AM

NWS discussion, 11:30 am Monday:
A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AND COMPLEX SYSTEM OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT EXTENDS FROM HISPANIOLA NORTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE SURFACE TROUGH HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED THIS MORNING A SHORT DISTANCE EAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. UPPER- LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND REACH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BY LATE TOMORROW OR WEDNESDAY