Post #293140 by TofuJoe on Mon, Mar 19, 2007 3:12 PM

I'd say there is no way Mr. Howell wins.

If it ever lets slip on survivor that you have any money of your own you get the boot on pure principle.

Mr. Howell first out due to being rich.

This leaves it 3 guys 3 girls. The guys are able to leverage Mrs Howell and vote off Ginger. Yes its sad for ratings but no one can take a chance against her in the final 2.

3 guys, 2 girls
Marianne starts winning immunity challenges. The professor gets the boot...he's too much of a challenger to risk keeping. This takes some convincing with the Skipper, but he finally sees the logic.

Next to go would be Mrs Howell because Marianne can't break the Skipper, Gilligan voting block.

The final three do the stand on a log for hours challenge. This is where it get's dicey. I think Marianne wins, but Gilligan could take it from sheer dumb luck.

If Marianne wins, she takes the Skipper to the final two. Very smart. The Skipper was ultimate responsible for crashing the boat in the first place and there will be latent anger about that, plus everyone loves Gilligan and you just can't chance it.

Mr and Mrs Howell, Professor and Ginger vote for Marianne.
Gilligan votes for Skipper naturally.

Marianne wins 4 to 1

And apparantly I watch too much survivor.